Viendo archivo del miércoles, 24 mayo 2023
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2023 May 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 144 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 May 2023IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1 event observed at
24/1721Z from Region 3311 (N18W08). There are currently 6 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on day one (25 May) and expected to be low
with a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class
flare on days two and three (26 May, 27 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 636 km/s at 23/2130Z. Total IMF reached 5
nT at 24/1606Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
23/2108Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 2693 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (25 May, 26 May) and
quiet to unsettled levels on day three (27 May). Protons greater than 10
Mev have a slight chance of crossing threshold on day three (27 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 May a 27 May
| Clase M | 30% | 40% | 45% |
| Clase X | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 May 164 Previsto 25 May-27 May 160/160/165 Media de 90 Días 24 May 153
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 May 011/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 May 012/017 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 May-27 May 010/012-013/015-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 May a 27 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 30% | 50% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.21 |
| Último evento clase M | 25/02/2026 | M2.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 03/03/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (4%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| febrero 2026 | 78.2 -34.3 |
| marzo 2026 | 74.8 -3.4 |
| Last 30 days | 53.3 -74.6 |