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Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2023 Jun 09 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 160 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Jun 2023

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M2 event observed at 09/1711Z from Region 3331 (S22E37). There are currently 9 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (10 Jun, 11 Jun, 12 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 366 km/s at 09/1327Z. Total IMF reached 11 nT at 09/1112Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 09/1808Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 253 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on day one (10 Jun) and quiet to unsettled levels on days two and three (11 Jun, 12 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Jun a 12 Jun
Clase M25%25%25%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       09 Jun 164
  Previsto   10 Jun-12 Jun 163/157/160
  Media de 90 Días        09 Jun 152

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 08 Jun  006/005
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 09 Jun  005/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 10 Jun-12 Jun  005/005-007/010-008/008

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Jun a 12 Jun
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%15%10%
Tormenta Menor01%05%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor15%20%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%10%15%

All times in UTC

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