Viendo archivo del jueves, 17 agosto 2023
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2023 Aug 17 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 229 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 Aug 2023IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C5 event observed at
17/1240Z from Region 3397 (N17W83). There are currently 9 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (18
Aug, 19 Aug, 20 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 348 km/s at 17/1627Z. Total IMF reached 11
nT at 17/2030Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
17/1533Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (18 Aug), quiet to unsettled
levels on day two (19 Aug) and quiet levels on day three (20 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 Aug a 20 Aug
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 17 Aug 152 Previsto 18 Aug-20 Aug 150/155/157 Media de 90 Días 17 Aug 167
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 16 Aug 010/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 17 Aug 009/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 18 Aug-20 Aug 010/012-007/008-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 Aug a 20 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 20% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.3 |
| Último evento clase M | 13/02/2026 | M1.0 |
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