Viendo archivo del miércoles, 23 agosto 2023
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2023 Aug 23 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 235 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Aug 2023IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1 event observed at
22/2304Z from Region 3405 (N09W33). There are currently 8 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (24
Aug, 25 Aug, 26 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 495 km/s at 22/2125Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
23/2031Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -2 nT at
22/2253Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 362 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (24 Aug, 25 Aug)
and quiet levels on day three (26 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Aug a 26 Aug
| Clase M | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 Aug 147 Previsto 24 Aug-26 Aug 150/155/155 Media de 90 Días 23 Aug 166
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 22 Aug 012/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 23 Aug 004/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 24 Aug-26 Aug 007/008-007/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Aug a 26 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 20% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 18/01/2026 | X1.9 |
| Último evento clase M | 21/01/2026 | M3.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 22/01/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
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