Viendo archivo del jueves, 27 julio 2023
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2023 Jul 27 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 208 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 Jul 2023IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1 event observed at
27/0951Z from Region 3376 (N22W96). There are currently 11 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (28 Jul, 29 Jul,
30 Jul).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 548 km/s at 26/2307Z. Total IMF reached 7
nT at 27/0232Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -2 nT at
27/1038Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 661 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (28 Jul, 29 Jul) and quiet to
active levels on day three (30 Jul).
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 Jul a 30 Jul
| Clase M | 35% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 Jul 165 Previsto 28 Jul-30 Jul 165/162/158 Media de 90 Días 27 Jul 164
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 26 Jul 023/024 Estimado Afr/Ap 27 Jul 010/011 Previsto Afr/Ap 28 Jul-30 Jul 006/005-006/005-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 Jul a 30 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 30/03/2026 | X1.4 |
| Último evento clase M | 28/03/2026 | M1.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 25/03/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (3%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| febrero 2026 | 78.2 -34.3 |
| Last 30 days | 88.6 +15.4 |
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