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Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2023 Aug 30 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 242 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Aug 2023

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C3 event observed at 29/2327Z from Region 3417 (S07E61). There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (31 Aug, 01 Sep, 02 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 358 km/s at 29/2209Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 30/1431Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 30/1237Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 187 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on day one (31 Aug) and quiet to unsettled levels on days two and three (01 Sep, 02 Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 Aug a 02 Sep
Clase M10%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       30 Aug 139
  Previsto   31 Aug-02 Sep 145/145/150
  Media de 90 Días        30 Aug 165

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 29 Aug  007/005
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 30 Aug  006/006
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 31 Aug-02 Sep  006/005-010/010-008/010

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 Aug a 02 Sep
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%25%25%
Tormenta Menor01%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor15%20%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa15%20%20%

All times in UTC

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