Viendo archivo del jueves, 7 septiembre 2023
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2023 Sep 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 250 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Sep 2023IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M2 event observed at
07/1909Z from Region 3225. There are currently 8 numbered sunspot
regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (08 Sep, 09 Sep,
10 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 424 km/s at 06/2329Z. Total IMF reached 6
nT at 06/2201Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
06/2302Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 398 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and three (08 Sep, 10
Sep) and quiet to active levels on day two (09 Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Sep a 10 Sep
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Sep 161 Previsto 08 Sep-10 Sep 155/158/155 Media de 90 Días 07 Sep 162
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Sep 010/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Sep 007/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Sep-10 Sep 008/010-010/012-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Sep a 10 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 40% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 18/01/2026 | X1.9 |
| Último evento clase M | 21/01/2026 | M3.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 28/01/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
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