Viendo archivo del miércoles, 20 septiembre 2023
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2023 Sep 20 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 263 Publicado el 2200Z a las 20 Sep 2023IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 19-2100Z hasta 20-2100Z Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a M8 event observed at
20/1419Z from Region 3435 (N09E29). There are currently 11 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate on
days one, two, and three (21 Sep, 22 Sep, 23 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 19-2100Z a 20-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 567 km/s at 19/2211Z. Total IMF reached 10
nT at 20/0548Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
20/0859Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 2923 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and three (21 Sep, 23
Sep) and quiet to active levels on day two (22 Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 21 Sep a 23 Sep
| Clase M | 55% | 55% | 55% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 20 Sep 156 Previsto 21 Sep-23 Sep 155/152/153 Media de 90 Días 20 Sep 161
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 19 Sep 038/038 Estimado Afr/Ap 20 Sep 012/016 Previsto Afr/Ap 21 Sep-23 Sep 008/008-011/015-011/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 21 Sep a 23 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 35% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 50% | 50% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 18/01/2026 | X1.9 |
| Último evento clase M | 21/01/2026 | M3.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 28/01/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
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