Viendo archivo del jueves, 30 noviembre 2023
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2023 Nov 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 334 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Nov 2023IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C2 event observed at
29/2241Z from Region 3500 (S18W18). There are currently 10 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on
days one, two, and three (01 Dec, 02 Dec, 03 Dec).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 451 km/s at 30/0027Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
29/2359Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
30/0212Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 394 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to severe storm levels on day one (01 Dec), quiet to
minor storm levels on day two (02 Dec) and quiet to unsettled levels on
day three (03 Dec). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold
on days one, two, and three (01 Dec, 02 Dec, 03 Dec).
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Dec a 03 Dec
| Clase M | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Nov 167 Previsto 01 Dec-03 Dec 166/162/158 Media de 90 Días 30 Nov 150
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Nov 005/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Nov 010/013 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Dec-03 Dec 037/054-018/022-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Dec a 03 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 35% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 25% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 40% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 60% | 20% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 30/03/2026 | X1.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 04/04/2026 | M1.0 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 03/04/2026 | Kp7- (G3) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (3%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| marzo 2026 | 85.9 +7.7 |
| abril 2026 | 133.3 +47.4 |
| Last 30 days | 96.9 +35.1 |
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