Viendo archivo del viernes, 3 noviembre 2023
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2023 Nov 03 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 307 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Nov 2023IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C4 event observed at
03/0132Z from Region 3480 (S11E64). There are currently 7 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (04 Nov, 05 Nov,
06 Nov).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 506 km/s at 03/0844Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 2847 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (04 Nov) and quiet to
active levels on days two and three (05 Nov, 06 Nov).
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Nov a 06 Nov
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 Nov 156 Previsto 04 Nov-06 Nov 158/156/156 Media de 90 Días 03 Nov 149
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 Nov 004/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 Nov 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 Nov-06 Nov 007/008-009/012-011/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Nov a 06 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 20% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.21 |
| Último evento clase M | 25/02/2026 | M2.4 |
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