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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2024 Mar 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 68 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Mar 2024IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C4 event observed at
07/2335Z from Region 3604 (N08E43). There are currently 6 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (09
Mar, 10 Mar, 11 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 547 km/s at 08/0803Z. Total IMF reached 7
nT at 08/0058Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
08/0212Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 115 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (09 Mar) and quiet to
unsettled levels on days two and three (10 Mar, 11 Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Mar a 11 Mar
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Mar 129 Previsto 09 Mar-11 Mar 127/125/127 Media de 90 Días 08 Mar 163
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Mar 008/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Mar 009/011 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Mar-11 Mar 015/020-007/010-009/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Mar a 11 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 60% | 30% | 35% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 18/01/2026 | X1.9 |
| Último evento clase M | 21/01/2026 | M3.4 |
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