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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2024 Mar 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 69 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Mar 2024IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1 event observed at
08/2126Z from Region 3599 (S12W15). There are currently 6 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (10
Mar, 11 Mar, 12 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 543 km/s at 08/2349Z. Total IMF reached 6
nT at 08/2251Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
08/2310Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 496 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (10 Mar,
11 Mar, 12 Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Mar a 12 Mar
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Mar 135 Previsto 10 Mar-12 Mar 135/135/135 Media de 90 Días 09 Mar 163
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Mar 009/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Mar 016/019 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Mar-12 Mar 007/010-009/012-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Mar a 12 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 30% | 35% | 30% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.3 |
| Último evento clase M | 05/02/2026 | M1.1 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 05/02/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
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| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
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