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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2024 May 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 129 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 May 2024IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a X1 event observed at
08/0141Z from Region 3663 (N26W70). There are currently 6 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be high on
days one, two, and three (09 May, 10 May, 11 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 548 km/s at 08/0256Z. Electrons greater
than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 151 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (09 May), unsettled to minor
storm levels on day two (10 May) and minor storm to major storm levels
on day three (11 May). Protons have a chance of crossing threshold on
days one, two, and three (09 May, 10 May, 11 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 May a 11 May
| Clase M | 95% | 95% | 95% |
| Clase X | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Protón | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 May 227 Previsto 09 May-11 May 225/225/220 Media de 90 Días 08 May 164
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 May 006/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 May 007/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 May-11 May 010/012-026/037-035/050
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 May a 11 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 30% | 35% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 10% | 25% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 50% | 65% | 75% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 18/01/2026 | X1.9 |
| Último evento clase M | 21/01/2026 | M3.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 22/01/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| enero 2026 | 118.7 -5.3 |
| Last 30 days | 120.4 +5.6 |