Viendo archivo del martes, 4 junio 2024
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2024 Jun 04 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 156 Publicado el 2200Z a las 04 Jun 2024IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 03-2100Z hasta 04-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M2 event observed at
04/0631Z from Region 3697 (S18W20). There are currently 12 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a chance for X-class flares on days one and two (05 Jun, 06 Jun)
and likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on
day three (07 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 03-2100Z a 04-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 516 km/s at 04/0012Z. Total IMF
reached 18 nT at 03/2148Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-10 nT at 04/0010Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous
orbit reached a peak level of 115 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (05 Jun) and quiet levels on
days two and three (06 Jun, 07 Jun). Protons have a slight chance of
crossing threshold on day one (05 Jun) and have a chance of crossing
threshold on days two and three (06 Jun, 07 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 05 Jun a 07 Jun
| Clase M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Protón | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 04 Jun 192 Previsto 05 Jun-07 Jun 190/185/180 Media de 90 Días 04 Jun 171
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 03 Jun 013/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 04 Jun 011/014 Previsto Afr/Ap 05 Jun-07 Jun 012/014-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 05 Jun a 07 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 45% | 20% | 20% |
All times in UTC
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
domingo, 7 diciembre 2025
M8.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
lunes, 1 diciembre 2025
X1.9 solar flare, Coronal hole faces Earth
viernes, 14 noviembre 2025
X4.0 solar flare
Últimos mensajes del foro
CH 09 13AR 4316 9Incoming & Unnumbered Active Regions 53Current Farside Activity 260Space Weather Memes 765
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Solar activity or if there is a chance to see the aurora, but with more traffic comes higher costs to keep the servers online. If you like SpaceWeatherLive and want to support the project you can choose a subscription for an ad-free site or consider a donation. With your help we can keep SpaceWeatherLive online!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 21/12/2025 | M1.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 21/12/2025 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| noviembre 2025 | 91.8 -22.8 |
| diciembre 2025 | 116.9 +25.1 |
| Last 30 days | 109 +22.2 |