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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2024 Jun 02 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 154 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Jun 2024IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M2 event observed at
02/0850Z from Region 3697 (S18E07). There are currently 9 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be moderate
with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (03 Jun, 04
Jun, 05 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 351 km/s at 02/0727Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
02/1617Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
02/1934Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 180 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (03 Jun), quiet to minor storm levels
on day two (04 Jun) and quiet to active levels on day three (05 Jun).
Protons have a chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three
(03 Jun, 04 Jun, 05 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Jun a 05 Jun
| Clase M | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Clase X | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Protón | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 Jun 180 Previsto 03 Jun-05 Jun 180/185/185 Media de 90 Días 02 Jun 170
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 01 Jun 006/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 02 Jun 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 03 Jun-05 Jun 006/005-012/018-013/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Jun a 05 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 40% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 60% | 40% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 31/12/2025 | M7.11 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 02/01/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
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