Viendo archivo del martes, 18 junio 2024
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2024 Jun 19 2010 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 170 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Jun 2024IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M2 event observed at
18/1123Z from Region 3712 (S26W12). There are currently 7 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(19 Jun, 20 Jun, 21 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 619 km/s at 18/0251Z. Total IMF reached 12
nT at 17/2351Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
180448/Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (19 Jun), quiet to unsettled
levels on day two (20 Jun) and quiet levels on day three (21 Jun).
Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on day one (19 Jun)
and have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days two and three (20
Jun, 21 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Jun a 21 Jun
| Clase M | 55% | 55% | 55% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 18 Jun 193 Previsto 19 Jun-21 Jun 180/180/180 Media de 90 Días 18 Jun 176
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 18 Jun 011/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 18 Jun 009/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 19 Jun-21 Jun 014/015-008/008-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Jun a 21 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 50% | 30% | 20% |
All times in UTC
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
miércoles, 31 diciembre 2025
Happy New Year! Celebrate with an M7.1 solar flare!
domingo, 7 diciembre 2025
M8.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
lunes, 1 diciembre 2025
X1.9 solar flare, Coronal hole faces Earth
Últimos mensajes del foro
AR 4334 42Source for historical daily sunspot plots 6Current Farside Activity 281AR 4336 47Discussions of unproven theories are no longer allowed 124
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Solar activity or if there is a chance to see the aurora, but with more traffic comes higher costs to keep the servers online. If you like SpaceWeatherLive and want to support the project you can choose a subscription for an ad-free site or consider a donation. With your help we can keep SpaceWeatherLive online!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 31/12/2025 | M7.11 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 02/01/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| enero 2026 | 106.7 -17.3 |
| Last 30 days | 102.5 -7.3 |