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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2024 Jun 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 176 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Jun 2024IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a M1 event observed at
24/0452Z from Region 3712 (S25W95). There are currently 9 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(25 Jun, 26 Jun, 27 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 364 km/s at 23/2117Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
24/1943Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
23/2243Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 121 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (25 Jun, 26 Jun, 27
Jun). Protons greater than 10 Mev have a slight chance of crossing
threshold on day one (25 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Jun a 27 Jun
| Clase M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Protón | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Jun 199 Previsto 25 Jun-27 Jun 200/200/200 Media de 90 Días 24 Jun 177
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Jun 012/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Jun 007/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Jun-27 Jun 005/005-006/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Jun a 27 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 20% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 20/12/2025 | M1.0 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 12/12/2025 | Kp5 (G1) |
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