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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2024 Jul 02 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 184 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Jul 2024IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C3 event observed at
01/2233Z. There are currently 12 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (03 Jul, 04 Jul,
05 Jul).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 449 km/s at 01/2101Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 641 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (03 Jul), quiet to
active levels on day two (04 Jul) and quiet to unsettled levels on day
three (05 Jul).
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Jul a 05 Jul
| Clase M | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 Jul 164 Previsto 03 Jul-05 Jul 165/160/160 Media de 90 Días 02 Jul 180
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 01 Jul 005/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 02 Jul 007/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 03 Jul-05 Jul 014/018-011/012-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Jul a 05 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 65% | 30% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 18/01/2026 | X1.9 |
| Último evento clase M | 21/01/2026 | M3.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 22/01/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| enero 2026 | 118.7 -5.3 |
| Last 30 days | 120.4 +5.6 |