Viendo archivo del martes, 26 noviembre 2024
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2024 Nov 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 331 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Nov 2024IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C9 event observed at
26/0023Z from Region 3906 (S16E19). There are currently 9 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(27 Nov, 28 Nov, 29 Nov).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 392 km/s at 26/0217Z. Total IMF reached 8
nT at 26/0814Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
26/0048Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 165 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (27 Nov), quiet to minor storm levels
on day two (28 Nov) and unsettled to major storm levels on day three (29
Nov). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one,
two, and three (27 Nov, 28 Nov, 29 Nov).
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Nov a 29 Nov
| Clase M | 65% | 65% | 65% |
| Clase X | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 Nov 222 Previsto 27 Nov-29 Nov 220/220/215 Media de 90 Días 26 Nov 207
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 25 Nov 009/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 26 Nov 008/009 Previsto Afr/Ap 27 Nov-29 Nov 006/005-015/020-021/028
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Nov a 29 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 40% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 20% | 35% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 20% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 60% | 70% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
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