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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Jan 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 24 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Jan 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C9 event observed at
24/1221Z. There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(25 Jan, 26 Jan, 27 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 572 km/s at 23/2334Z. Total IMF reached 6
nT at 24/2029Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
24/2047Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 743 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to minor storm levels on day one (25 Jan), quiet to
active levels on day two (26 Jan) and quiet levels on day three (27
Jan). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one,
two, and three (25 Jan, 26 Jan, 27 Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Jan a 27 Jan
| Clase M | 55% | 55% | 55% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Jan 205 Previsto 25 Jan-27 Jan 205/205/200 Media de 90 Días 24 Jan 201
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Jan 007/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Jan 009/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Jan-27 Jan 021/030-014/015-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Jan a 27 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 75% | 45% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 20/12/2025 | M1.0 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 12/12/2025 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| noviembre 2025 | 91.8 -22.8 |
| diciembre 2025 | 120.8 +29 |
| Last 30 days | 108.7 +19.4 |