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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Jan 27 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 27 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 Jan 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M2 event observed at
27/0812Z. There are currently 7 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on day one (28 Jan) and expected to be low
with a slight chance for an M-class flare on days two and three (29 Jan,
30 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 456 km/s at 27/0124Z. Total IMF reached 9
nT at 27/1240Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -8 nT at
27/1240Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 2531 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and three (28 Jan, 30 Jan) and quiet
to unsettled levels on day two (29 Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 Jan a 30 Jan
| Clase M | 25% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 Jan 162 Previsto 28 Jan-30 Jan 160/155/150 Media de 90 Días 27 Jan 198
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 26 Jan 002/001 Estimado Afr/Ap 27 Jan 004/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 28 Jan-30 Jan 005/005-008/010-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 Jan a 30 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 40% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 31/12/2025 | M7.11 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 02/01/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| enero 2026 | 119.3 -4.8 |
| Last 30 days | 108.2 +0.2 |