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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Feb 23 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 54 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Feb 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a X2 event observed at
23/1927Z from Region 4001 (N24W90). There are currently 11 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(24 Feb, 25 Feb, 26 Feb).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 480 km/s at 23/0701Z. Total IMF reached 9
nT at 23/2014Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
23/0037Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 232 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (24 Feb,
25 Feb, 26 Feb). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on
days one, two, and three (24 Feb, 25 Feb, 26 Feb).
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Feb a 26 Feb
| Clase M | 65% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 Feb 210 Previsto 24 Feb-26 Feb 210/210/210 Media de 90 Días 23 Feb 193
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 22 Feb 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 23 Feb 006/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 24 Feb-26 Feb 006/008-008/008-008/006
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Feb a 26 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 25% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.3 |
| Último evento clase M | 05/02/2026 | M1.1 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 05/02/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| enero 2026 | 112.6 -11.4 |
| febrero 2026 | 140.8 +28.2 |
| Last 30 days | 124.4 +17 |