Viendo archivo del lunes, 24 febrero 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Feb 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 55 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Feb 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M3 event observed at
24/0702Z from Region 4000 (N17W34). There are currently 10 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (25 Feb, 26
Feb, 27 Feb).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 466 km/s at 24/1939Z. Total IMF reached 17
nT at 24/2006Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -13 nT at
24/1737Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 254 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (25 Feb) and quiet to
unsettled levels on days two and three (26 Feb, 27 Feb). Protons have a
chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (25 Feb, 26
Feb, 27 Feb).
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Feb a 27 Feb
| Clase M | 65% | 65% | 65% |
| Clase X | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Protón | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Feb 203 Previsto 25 Feb-27 Feb 205/205/200 Media de 90 Días 24 Feb 193
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Feb 006/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Feb 013/017 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Feb-27 Feb 008/008-008/006-007/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Feb a 27 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 40% | 20% | 30% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 01/02/2026 | X1.0 |
| Último evento clase M | 01/02/2026 | M1.8 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 28/01/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| Last 30 days | 119.2 +2.7 |