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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Mar 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 68 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Mar 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C2 event observed at
09/1854Z from Region 4019 (N07E43). There are currently 5 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (10 Mar, 11 Mar,
12 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at unsettled to major storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 1349 km/s at 09/0255Z. Total IMF
reached 18 nT at 09/0346Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-13 nT at 08/2100Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous
orbit reached a peak level of 422 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to minor storm levels on day one (10 Mar), unsettled
to active levels on day two (11 Mar) and quiet to active levels on day
three (12 Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Mar a 12 Mar
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Mar 148 Previsto 10 Mar-12 Mar 155/160/165 Media de 90 Días 09 Mar 188
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Mar 015/020 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Mar 025/034 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Mar-12 Mar 019/025-015/020-009/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Mar a 12 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 65% | 40% | 35% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.21 |
| Último evento clase M | 25/02/2026 | M2.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 22/02/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (5%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| enero 2026 | 112.6 -11.4 |
| marzo 2026 | 83.5 -29.1 |
| Last 30 days | 67.7 -52.1 |