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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Mar 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 72 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Mar 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 11 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (14 Mar, 15 Mar,
16 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at active to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 616 km/s at 13/1858Z. Total IMF
reached 9 nT at 13/1640Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-8 nT at 13/1821Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit
reached a peak level of 1561 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at active to minor storm levels on day one (14 Mar), unsettled to
active levels on day two (15 Mar) and quiet to unsettled levels on day
three (16 Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Mar a 16 Mar
| Clase M | 45% | 45% | 45% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Mar 175 Previsto 14 Mar-16 Mar 165/170/170 Media de 90 Días 13 Mar 188
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Mar 018/034 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Mar 024/035 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Mar-16 Mar 021/030-018/024-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Mar a 16 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 45% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 60% | 40% | 30% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 31/12/2025 | M7.11 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 02/01/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| enero 2026 | 106.7 -17.3 |
| Last 30 days | 102.5 -7.3 |