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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Mar 14 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 73 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 Mar 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 10 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on
days one, two, and three (15 Mar, 16 Mar, 17 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at unsettled to major storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 691 km/s at 14/1926Z. Total IMF
reached 8 nT at 14/1920Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-7 nT at 14/0013Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit
reached a peak level of 3981 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to active levels on day one (15 Mar) and quiet to
active levels on days two and three (16 Mar, 17 Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 Mar a 17 Mar
| Clase M | 45% | 45% | 45% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 Mar 180 Previsto 15 Mar-17 Mar 180/180/180 Media de 90 Días 14 Mar 188
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 13 Mar 026/038 Estimado Afr/Ap 14 Mar 019/025 Previsto Afr/Ap 15 Mar-17 Mar 015/020-013/015-011/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 Mar a 17 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 50% | 45% | 40% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 19/12/2025 | M1.0 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 12/12/2025 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| noviembre 2025 | 91.8 -22.8 |
| diciembre 2025 | 120.8 +29 |
| Last 30 days | 108.7 +19.4 |