Viendo archivo del lunes, 17 marzo 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Mar 17 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 76 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 Mar 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 12 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on
days one, two, and three (18 Mar, 19 Mar, 20 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 438 km/s at 16/2103Z. Total IMF reached 7
nT at 17/1133Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
17/1204Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 6680 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one, two, and three (18 Mar, 19
Mar, 20 Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 Mar a 20 Mar
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 17 Mar 204 Previsto 18 Mar-20 Mar 188/186/186 Media de 90 Días 17 Mar 189
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 16 Mar 010/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 17 Mar 013/017 Previsto Afr/Ap 18 Mar-20 Mar 012/015-010/012-011/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 Mar a 20 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 55% | 40% | 40% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 24/04/2026 | X2.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 29/05/2026 | M1.1 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 16/05/2026 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2026 | 79.3 -6.6 |
| mayo 2026 | 97.9 +18.6 |
| Last 30 days | 97.9 +5 |
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