Viendo archivo del domingo, 13 abril 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Apr 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 103 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Apr 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one and two (14 Apr,
15 Apr) and likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class
flare on day three (16 Apr).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 553 km/s at 13/0223Z. Total IMF
reached 9 nT at 12/2100Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-7 nT at 12/2128Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit
reached a peak level of 1149 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (14 Apr, 15 Apr) and
unsettled to major storm levels on day three (16 Apr). Protons greater
than 10 Mev have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one and
two (14 Apr, 15 Apr).
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Apr a 16 Apr
| Clase M | 80% | 75% | 60% |
| Clase X | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Apr 164 Previsto 14 Apr-16 Apr 160/150/140 Media de 90 Días 13 Apr 178
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Apr 013/ 013 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Apr 014/016 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Apr-16 Apr 013/012-009/012-023/036
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Apr a 16 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 25% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 40% | 40% | 75% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 24/04/2026 | X2.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 29/05/2026 | M1.1 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 16/05/2026 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2026 | 79.3 -6.6 |
| mayo 2026 | 99.1 +19.8 |
| Last 30 days | 99.1 +7.5 |
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