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Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Mar 31 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 90 Publicado el 2200Z a las 31 Mar 2025

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 31-2100Z

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 7 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be moderate with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (01 Apr, 02 Apr, 03 Apr).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 31-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 534 km/s at 31/1444Z. Total IMF reached 11 nT at 31/1109Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at 31/1515Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 37 pfu at 31/1725Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 2038 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (01 Apr, 02 Apr) and quiet levels on day three (03 Apr). Protons are expected to cross threshold on day one (01 Apr), have a chance of crossing threshold on day two (02 Apr) and have a chance of crossing threshold on day three (03 Apr).
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Apr a 03 Apr
Clase M75%75%75%
Clase X25%25%25%
Protón80%35%25%
PCAFyellow
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       31 Mar 172
  Previsto   01 Apr-03 Apr 175/175/170
  Media de 90 Días        31 Mar 179

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 30 Mar  008/010
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 31 Mar  008/008
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 01 Apr-03 Apr  009/010-008/008-006/005

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Apr a 03 Apr
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%20%10%
Tormenta Menor05%05%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor30%30%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa25%25%20%

All times in UTC

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