Viendo archivo del martes, 4 marzo 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Mar 04 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 63 Publicado el 2200Z a las 04 Mar 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 03-2100Z hasta 04-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C4 event observed at
04/1545Z from Region 4012 (S13E33). There are currently 8 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (05 Mar, 06 Mar,
07 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 03-2100Z a 04-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 558 km/s at 04/0525Z. Total IMF reached 8
nT at 04/0449Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -8 nT at
04/2037Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 1125 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (05 Mar), quiet to
unsettled levels on day two (06 Mar) and quiet levels on day three (07
Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 05 Mar a 07 Mar
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 04 Mar 160 Previsto 05 Mar-07 Mar 165/170/170 Media de 90 Días 04 Mar 189
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 03 Mar 005/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 04 Mar 012/016 Previsto Afr/Ap 05 Mar-07 Mar 019/025-008/010-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 05 Mar a 07 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 65% | 30% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 30/03/2026 | X1.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 09/04/2026 | M1.0 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 03/04/2026 | Kp7- (G3) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (3%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| marzo 2026 | 85.9 +7.7 |
| abril 2026 | 94.2 +8.3 |
| Last 30 days | 94.7 +35.4 |
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