Viendo archivo del miércoles, 2 abril 2025

Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Apr 02 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 92 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Apr 2025

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (03 Apr, 04 Apr, 05 Apr).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 492 km/s at 02/0225Z. Total IMF reached 11 nT at 02/1201Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -9 nT at 02/0913Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 26 pfu at 01/2125Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1875 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on day one (03 Apr) and quiet to minor storm levels on days two and three (04 Apr, 05 Apr). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (03 Apr, 04 Apr, 05 Apr).
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Apr a 05 Apr
Clase M70%70%70%
Clase X15%15%15%
Protón15%15%15%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       02 Apr 180
  Previsto   03 Apr-05 Apr 180/180/176
  Media de 90 Días        02 Apr 178

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 01 Apr  005/ 005
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 02 Apr  017/021
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 03 Apr-05 Apr  010/012-013/018-017/020

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Apr a 05 Apr
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%40%40%
Tormenta Menor05%25%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%05%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%10%10%
Tormenta Menor30%25%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa25%60%60%

All times in UTC

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