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Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Apr 03 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 93 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Apr 2025

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 7 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (04 Apr, 05 Apr, 06 Apr).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at unsettled to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 789 km/s at 03/0557Z. Total IMF reached 11 nT at 03/1937Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -11 nT at 03/1937Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 3 pfu at 02/2110Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 524 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to minor storm levels on days one and two (04 Apr, 05 Apr) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (06 Apr). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (04 Apr, 05 Apr, 06 Apr).
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Apr a 06 Apr
Clase M70%70%70%
Clase X15%15%15%
Protón15%15%15%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       03 Apr 178
  Previsto   04 Apr-06 Apr 178/176/176
  Media de 90 Días        03 Apr 178

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 02 Apr  016/022
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 03 Apr  018/025
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 04 Apr-06 Apr  013/018-017/020-008/010

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Apr a 06 Apr
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo40%40%20%
Tormenta Menor25%25%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%10%15%
Tormenta Menor25%25%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa60%60%30%

All times in UTC

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