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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Apr 06 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 96 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Apr 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 9 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(07 Apr, 08 Apr, 09 Apr).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 734 km/s at 06/0323Z. Total IMF
reached 8 nT at 06/0518Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-7 nT at 06/0013Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit
reached a peak level of 9242 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (07 Apr, 08 Apr) and
quiet to unsettled levels on day three (09 Apr).
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Apr a 09 Apr
| Clase M | 55% | 55% | 55% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Apr 167 Previsto 07 Apr-09 Apr 165/160/150 Media de 90 Días 06 Apr 178
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Apr 020/ NA Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Apr 018/021 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Apr-09 Apr 011/004-013/004-007/003
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Apr a 09 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 30% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 50% | 45% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 24/04/2026 | X2.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 17/05/2026 | M1.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 16/05/2026 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2026 | 79.3 -6.6 |
| mayo 2026 | 92.6 +13.3 |
| Last 30 days | 95.5 +3.7 |
