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Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Apr 07 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 97 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Apr 2025

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 9 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (08 Apr, 09 Apr, 10 Apr).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 590 km/s at 07/1015Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 07/0205Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 07/1829Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 17878 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on day one (08 Apr) and quiet to unsettled levels on days two and three (09 Apr, 10 Apr).
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Apr a 10 Apr
Clase M55%55%55%
Clase X10%10%10%
Protón05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       07 Apr 162
  Previsto   08 Apr-10 Apr 160/150/150
  Media de 90 Días        07 Apr 178

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 06 Apr  017/ 20
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 07 Apr  011/013
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 08 Apr-10 Apr  013/014-009/010-009/010

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Apr a 10 Apr
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo30%25%25%
Tormenta Menor15%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor30%30%30%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa45%40%40%

All times in UTC

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