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Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Apr 08 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 98 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Apr 2025

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 7 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (09 Apr, 10 Apr, 11 Apr).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 623 km/s at 08/1641Z. Total IMF reached 11 nT at 08/1257Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -11 nT at 08/1258Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 10268 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (09 Apr) and quiet to active levels on days two and three (10 Apr, 11 Apr).
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Apr a 11 Apr
Clase M40%40%40%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       08 Apr 159
  Previsto   09 Apr-11 Apr 150/150/140
  Media de 90 Días        08 Apr 178

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 07 Apr  010/013
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 08 Apr  017/025
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 09 Apr-11 Apr  014/015-011/012-010/012

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Apr a 11 Apr
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo35%30%30%
Tormenta Menor20%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%15%15%
Tormenta Menor25%30%30%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa50%45%45%

All times in UTC

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