Viendo archivo del viernes, 11 abril 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Apr 11 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 101 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 Apr 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (12 Apr, 13 Apr,
14 Apr).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 527 km/s at 11/1226Z. Total IMF reached 8
nT at 11/2050Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
10/2105Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 3362 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (12 Apr), unsettled to
active levels on day two (13 Apr) and quiet to unsettled levels on day
three (14 Apr).
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 Apr a 14 Apr
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 11 Apr 170 Previsto 12 Apr-14 Apr 160/160/150 Media de 90 Días 11 Apr 178
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 10 Apr 011/017 Estimado Afr/Ap 11 Apr 013/016 Previsto Afr/Ap 12 Apr-14 Apr 015/022-013/016-011/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 Apr a 14 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 35% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 60% | 50% | 40% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 24/04/2026 | X2.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 29/05/2026 | M1.1 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 16/05/2026 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2026 | 79.3 -6.6 |
| mayo 2026 | 97.9 +18.6 |
| Last 30 days | 97.9 +6.3 |
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