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Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Apr 11 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 101 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 Apr 2025

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (12 Apr, 13 Apr, 14 Apr).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 527 km/s at 11/1226Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at 11/2050Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at 10/2105Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 3362 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (12 Apr), unsettled to active levels on day two (13 Apr) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (14 Apr).
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 Apr a 14 Apr
Clase M50%50%50%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       11 Apr 170
  Previsto   12 Apr-14 Apr 160/160/150
  Media de 90 Días        11 Apr 178

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 10 Apr  011/017
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 11 Apr  013/016
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 12 Apr-14 Apr  015/022-013/016-011/012

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 Apr a 14 Apr
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo40%35%30%
Tormenta Menor25%15%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%15%15%
Tormenta Menor25%30%30%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa60%50%40%

All times in UTC

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