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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 May 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 128 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 May 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (09 May, 10 May,
11 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 1031 km/s at 08/0629Z. Total IMF reached 12
nT at 08/0618Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
08/2032Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 15854 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to minor storm levels on day one (09 May) and quiet
to active levels on days two and three (10 May, 11 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 May a 11 May
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 May 149 Previsto 09 May-11 May 150/150/140 Media de 90 Días 08 May 166
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 May 008/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 May 009/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 May-11 May 017/025-010/012-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 May a 11 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 70% | 50% | 45% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.3 |
| Último evento clase M | 12/02/2026 | M1.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 05/02/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| enero 2026 | 112.6 -11.4 |
| febrero 2026 | 125.3 +12.7 |
| Last 30 days | 130.4 +32.7 |