Viendo archivo del sábado, 10 mayo 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 May 10 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 130 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 May 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on day one (11 May) and likely to be low on
days two and three (12 May, 13 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 554 km/s at 10/1225Z. Total IMF reached 9
nT at 09/2126Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -9 nT at
09/2126Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 1326 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one and three (11 May, 13 May)
and quiet to unsettled levels on day two (12 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 May a 13 May
| Clase M | 40% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 May 134 Previsto 11 May-13 May 130/125/120 Media de 90 Días 10 May 165
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 May 011/011 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 May 012/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 May-13 May 010/012-007/008-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 May a 13 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 20% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 50% | 25% | 50% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 24/04/2026 | X2.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 22/05/2026 | M2.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 16/05/2026 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2026 | 79.3 -6.6 |
| mayo 2026 | 87.6 +8.3 |
| Last 30 days | 99.3 +9.1 |
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