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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Jun 01 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 152 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Jun 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 31-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(02 Jun, 03 Jun, 04 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 31-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at active to severe storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 1130 km/s at 01/1154Z. Total IMF
reached 27 nT at 01/1008Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-23 nT at 01/0529Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit
reached a peak level of 666 pfu at 01/0915Z. Electrons greater than 2
MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 4397 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at active to severe storm levels on day one (02 Jun), active to
minor storm levels on day two (03 Jun) and unsettled to active levels on
day three (04 Jun). Protons are expected to cross threshold on day one
(02 Jun), are expected to cross threshold on day two (03 Jun) and are
likely to cross threshold on day three (04 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Jun a 04 Jun
| Clase M | 65% | 65% | 65% |
| Clase X | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Protón | 99% | 75% | 60% |
| PCAF | yellow | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 Jun 150 Previsto 02 Jun-04 Jun 150/150/150 Media de 90 Días 01 Jun 154
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 31 May 012/016 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 Jun 061/124 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 Jun-04 Jun 050/086-023/035-016/018
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Jun a 04 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 30% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 35% | 35% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 55% | 25% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 01% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 95% | 75% | 55% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 12/12/2025 | M1.1 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 12/12/2025 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| noviembre 2025 | 91.8 -22.8 |
| diciembre 2025 | 139.6 +47.8 |
| Last 30 days | 106.8 +8.5 |