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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Jun 02 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 153 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Jun 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(03 Jun, 04 Jun, 05 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at active to severe storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 1036 km/s at 01/2106Z. Total IMF
reached 15 nT at 01/2123Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-12 nT at 02/2100Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit
reached a peak level of 17 pfu at 01/2200Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV
at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 2057 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to severe storm levels on day one (03 Jun) and quiet
to minor storm levels on days two and three (04 Jun, 05 Jun). Protons
have a chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (03 Jun,
04 Jun, 05 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Jun a 05 Jun
| Clase M | 55% | 55% | 55% |
| Clase X | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Protón | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 Jun 140 Previsto 03 Jun-05 Jun 140/135/135 Media de 90 Días 02 Jun 154
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 01 Jun 059/064 Estimado Afr/Ap 02 Jun 042/069 Previsto Afr/Ap 03 Jun-05 Jun 031/048-015/020-018/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Jun a 05 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 35% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 35% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 79% | 60% | 60% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 24/04/2026 | X2.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 22/05/2026 | M2.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 16/05/2026 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2026 | 79.3 -6.6 |
| mayo 2026 | 89.2 +9.9 |
| Last 30 days | 95.5 +2.6 |
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