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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Jun 03 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 154 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Jun 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(04 Jun, 05 Jun, 06 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at unsettled to severe storm levels for the past 24
hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 804 km/s at 03/0951Z. Total
IMF reached 15 nT at 02/2218Z. The maximum southward component of Bz
reached -13 nT at 03/0013Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 3 pfu at 03/0050Z.
Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak
level of 3366 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels on days one and two (04 Jun, 05
Jun) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (06 Jun). Protons have a
slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (04 Jun,
05 Jun, 06 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Jun a 06 Jun
| Clase M | 55% | 55% | 55% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 Jun 135 Previsto 04 Jun-06 Jun 135/135/130 Media de 90 Días 03 Jun 153
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 Jun 038/ 069 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 Jun 040/059 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 Jun-06 Jun 014/018-018/020-013/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Jun a 06 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 60% | 60% | 50% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 24/04/2026 | X2.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 29/05/2026 | M1.1 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 16/05/2026 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2026 | 79.3 -6.6 |
| mayo 2026 | 97.9 +18.6 |
| Last 30 days | 97.9 +5 |
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