Viendo archivo del jueves, 12 junio 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Jun 12 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 163 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Jun 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (13 Jun, 14 Jun,
15 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at unsettled to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 513 km/s at 12/0511Z. Total IMF
reached 17 nT at 11/2230Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-12 nT at 12/1857Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous
orbit reached a peak level of 441 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (13 Jun), unsettled to major
storm levels on day two (14 Jun) and unsettled to minor storm levels on
day three (15 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Jun a 15 Jun
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 Jun 142 Previsto 13 Jun-15 Jun 140/140/135 Media de 90 Días 12 Jun 150
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 11 Jun 013/018 Estimado Afr/Ap 12 Jun 019/024 Previsto Afr/Ap 13 Jun-15 Jun 011/015-024/032-018/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Jun a 15 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 40% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 25% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 55% | 75% | 65% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 03/06/2026 | X1.0 |
| Último evento clase M | 06/06/2026 | M1.8 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 11/06/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| mayo 2026 | 101.4 +22.1 |
| junio 2026 | 104.7 +3.3 |
| Last 30 days | 108.3 +10.8 |
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