Viendo archivo del viernes, 13 junio 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Jun 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 164 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Jun 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (14 Jun, 15 Jun,
16 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at minor storm to major storm levels for the past 24
hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 459 km/s at 12/2109Z. Total
IMF reached 18 nT at 13/0906Z. The maximum southward component of Bz
reached -16 nT at 13/0906Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1228 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to major storm levels on day one (14 Jun), unsettled
to minor storm levels on day two (15 Jun) and quiet to minor storm
levels on day three (16 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Jun a 16 Jun
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Jun 143 Previsto 14 Jun-16 Jun 140/135/130 Media de 90 Días 13 Jun 150
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Jun 024/ 033 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Jun 038/064 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Jun-16 Jun 033/047-018/024-016/018
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Jun a 16 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 40% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 79% | 65% | 60% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 03/02/2026 | X1.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 04/02/2026 | M1.1 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 28/01/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| febrero 2026 | 133 +9 |
| Last 30 days | 120.6 +10.9 |