Viendo archivo del sábado, 12 julio 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Jul 12 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 193 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Jul 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate on
days one, two, and three (13 Jul, 14 Jul, 15 Jul).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 562 km/s at 12/2059Z. Total IMF reached 14
nT at 12/0907Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -9 nT at
12/1405Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 435 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (13 Jul) and quiet to
unsettled levels on days two and three (14 Jul, 15 Jul).
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Jul a 15 Jul
| Clase M | 55% | 55% | 55% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 Jul 139 Previsto 13 Jul-15 Jul 140/140/145 Media de 90 Días 12 Jul 137
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 11 Jul 018/019 Estimado Afr/Ap 12 Jul 012/014 Previsto Afr/Ap 13 Jul-15 Jul 012/015-010/010-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Jul a 15 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 30% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 50% | 40% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.21 |
| Último evento clase M | 25/02/2026 | M2.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 03/03/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (5%) |
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