Viendo archivo del lunes, 14 julio 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Jul 14 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 195 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 Jul 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 9 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (15 Jul, 16 Jul,
17 Jul).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 654 km/s at 13/2149Z. Total IMF
reached 9 nT at 14/1855Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-8 nT at 14/1905Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit
reached a peak level of 1234 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (15 Jul), quiet to
unsettled levels on day two (16 Jul) and quiet levels on day three (17
Jul).
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 Jul a 17 Jul
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 Jul 128 Previsto 15 Jul-17 Jul 128/128/125 Media de 90 Días 14 Jul 136
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 13 Jul 017/ 015 Estimado Afr/Ap 14 Jul 014/018 Previsto Afr/Ap 15 Jul-17 Jul 012/015-009/010-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 Jul a 17 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 60% | 25% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 03/06/2026 | X1.0 |
| Último evento clase M | 06/06/2026 | M1.8 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 11/06/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| mayo 2026 | 101.4 +22.1 |
| junio 2026 | 104.7 +3.3 |
| Last 30 days | 109.8 +11.5 |
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