Viendo archivo del domingo, 10 agosto 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Aug 10 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 222 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Aug 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 11 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(11 Aug, 12 Aug, 13 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 839 km/s at 10/0606Z. Total IMF reached 7
nT at 10/0148Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
10/1007Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 3694 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to active levels on day one (11 Aug) and quiet to
active levels on days two and three (12 Aug, 13 Aug). Protons have a
slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (11 Aug,
12 Aug, 13 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Aug a 13 Aug
| Clase M | 55% | 55% | 55% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 Aug 153 Previsto 11 Aug-13 Aug 155/150/145 Media de 90 Días 10 Aug 135
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 Aug 027/022 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 Aug 015/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 Aug-13 Aug 013/018-014/015-013/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Aug a 13 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 50% | 40% | 35% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 24/04/2026 | X2.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 29/05/2026 | M1.1 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 16/05/2026 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2026 | 79.3 -6.6 |
| mayo 2026 | 96.6 +17.3 |
| Last 30 days | 96.6 +3.7 |
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