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Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Aug 01 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 213 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Aug 2025

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 31-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (02 Aug, 03 Aug, 04 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 31-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 558 km/s at 01/0611Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at 01/2059Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at 01/2018Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1386 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on day one (02 Aug) and quiet levels on days two and three (03 Aug, 04 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Aug a 04 Aug
Clase M30%30%30%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       01 Aug 146
  Previsto   02 Aug-04 Aug 145/145/140
  Media de 90 Días        01 Aug 134

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 31 Jul  010/011
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 01 Aug  013/014
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 02 Aug-04 Aug  008/008-006/005-005/005

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Aug a 04 Aug
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%10%10%
Tormenta Menor05%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor25%20%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa25%20%20%

All times in UTC

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