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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Aug 29 0005 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 240 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 Aug 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 11 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(29 Aug, 30 Aug, 31 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 436 km/s at 28/2149Z. Total IMF reached 6
nT at 28/2107Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
28/2357Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 8 pfu at 28/0240Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 349 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and three (29 Aug, 31
Aug) and quiet levels on day two (30 Aug). Protons have a chance of
crossing threshold on day one (29 Aug) and have a slight chance of
crossing threshold on days two and three (30 Aug, 31 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 Aug a 31 Aug
| Clase M | 60% | 65% | 65% |
| Clase X | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Protón | 50% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 28 Aug 232 Previsto 29 Aug-31 Aug 235/240/240 Media de 90 Días 28 Aug 139
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 27 Aug 009/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 28 Aug 008/009 Previsto Afr/Ap 29 Aug-31 Aug 008/008-006/005-007/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 Aug a 31 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 20% | 30% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.3 |
| Último evento clase M | 05/02/2026 | M1.1 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 05/02/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| enero 2026 | 112.6 -11.4 |
| febrero 2026 | 139.3 +26.7 |
| Last 30 days | 124.9 +18 |