Viendo archivo del miércoles, 13 agosto 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Aug 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 225 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Aug 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 10 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on
day one (14 Aug) and expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares
on days two and three (15 Aug, 16 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind
speed reached a peak of 710 km/s at 13/0250Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
12/2102Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
13/1439Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 8355 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (14 Aug, 15 Aug) and
quiet levels on day three (16 Aug). Protons greater than 10 Mev have a
slight chance of crossing threshold on day one (14 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Aug a 16 Aug
| Clase M | 50% | 45% | 45% |
| Clase X | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Aug 140 Previsto 14 Aug-16 Aug 140/145/150 Media de 90 Días 13 Aug 136
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Aug 012/ 014 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Aug 012/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Aug-16 Aug 008/010-008/010-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Aug a 16 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 45% | 45% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 24/04/2026 | X2.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 22/05/2026 | M2.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 16/05/2026 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2026 | 79.3 -6.6 |
| mayo 2026 | 87.6 +8.3 |
| Last 30 days | 99.3 +9.1 |
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