Viendo archivo del domingo, 24 agosto 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Aug 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 236 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Aug 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (25 Aug, 26 Aug,
27 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 455 km/s at 24/0531Z. Total IMF reached 9 nT at
24/1808Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
24/1754Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 6 pfu at 24/1945Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1495 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (25 Aug, 26 Aug) and
quiet to unsettled levels on day three (27 Aug). Protons greater than 10
Mev have a chance of crossing threshold on days one and two (25 Aug, 26
Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Aug a 27 Aug
| Clase M | 45% | 45% | 45% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 50% | 50% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Aug 152 Previsto 25 Aug-27 Aug 152/152/155 Media de 90 Días 24 Aug 136
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Aug 007/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Aug 006/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Aug-27 Aug 010/012-011/015-009/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Aug a 27 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 40% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 50% | 55% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.21 |
| Último evento clase M | 25/02/2026 | M2.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 22/02/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (5%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| enero 2026 | 112.6 -11.4 |
| Last 30 days | 72.7 -45.8 |